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Why new-home prices are falling in summer 2025 – and where buyers can find deals now

·Vincent Salandro for NewHomeSource

For sale sign in front of a house. — Juice Flair // Shutterstock
For sale sign in front of a house. — Juice Flair // Shutterstock

Why new-home prices are falling in summer 2025 – and where buyers can find deals now

For home shoppers holding out for better prices, .

Prices in many of the country’s most popular markets — including markets in , , and — have fallen significantly, reports .

“New-home prices can come down for one of two reasons,� says Ali Wolf, chief economist for NewHomeSource.

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Reason one : A builder begins building communities further away from city centers. "Those shifts alone could lower prices without home prices actually falling," said Wolf.

Reason two : Market response.

â€Àá´Ú gets stretched too much or consumer confidence weakens and buyer demand slows, home prices can come down as builders try to ‘find the market,’â€� Wolf says.

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What’s Happening with the New Home Market in 2025

According to April 2025 data from Zonda, several markets have seen prices fall considerably from their recent peaks, opening the door for:

  • More affordability/greater buying power
  • Better deals

While homes in many markets remain expensive, the recent drops signal a fundamental shift in buyer leverage.

“You will find some good value in the market today, especially compared to resale properties,� said Wolf.

The latest data reveals several trends and patterns emerging related to pricing in the new-home market:

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Map showing data revealing several trends and patterns emerging to pricing in the new-home market.
NewHomeSource


Florida’s Price Declines: In 50 metros analyzed by Zonda, five of the top 10 markets with the biggest price drops were in Florida:

  • (-22.3%)
  • Naples (-21.9%)
  • North Port (-19.2%)
  • Cape Coral (-14.2%)
  • (-13.7%)

San Francisco’s Double Dip: New-home prices in were 18.2% below their peak of approximately $1.2 million. It was also the lone market where April 2025 prices were below 20219 levels (down 15.1%).

Cooling Pandemic Hotspots: (-15.4%) and (-14.2%), which had significant booms in the pandemic, saw prices fall well below their peaks.

At the Peak: Philadelphia, San Jose, and Port St. Lucie were the only markets analyzed to reach a new pricing peak in April.

  • San Jose also earned the distinction as the most expensive market analyzed, with an average new-home price of $1.8 million.

Nearing the Top: Home prices in , , , , and were all within 3% of the peak in April.

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What Does This Mean for You?

The declines in prices mean that markets that may have felt out of reach for would-be buyers are now more accessible. At the very least, these markets now come with better terms.

Bottom line: For , now may be the time to revisit areas they were previously priced out of and take advantage of builder incentives.

That said, urgency matters; these lower prices may not last. As the market adjusts, today’s opportunities could turn into tomorrow’s regrets.

NewHomeSource is a platform for new home listings with homebuilder reviews.

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