Why new-home prices are falling in summer 2025 – and where buyers can find deals now

Why new-home prices are falling in summer 2025 – and where buyers can find deals now
For home shoppers holding out for better prices, .
Prices in many of the country’s most popular markets — including markets in , , and — have fallen significantly, reports .
“New-home prices can come down for one of two reasons,� says Ali Wolf, chief economist for NewHomeSource.
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Reason one : A builder begins building communities further away from city centers. "Those shifts alone could lower prices without home prices actually falling," said Wolf.
Reason two : Market response.
â€Àá´Ú gets stretched too much or consumer confidence weakens and buyer demand slows, home prices can come down as builders try to ‘find the market,’â€� Wolf says.
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What’s Happening with the New Home Market in 2025
According to April 2025 data from Zonda, several markets have seen prices fall considerably from their recent peaks, opening the door for:
- More affordability/greater buying power
- Better deals
While homes in many markets remain expensive, the recent drops signal a fundamental shift in buyer leverage.
“You will find some good value in the market today, especially compared to resale properties,� said Wolf.
The latest data reveals several trends and patterns emerging related to pricing in the new-home market:
Florida’s Price Declines: In 50 metros analyzed by Zonda, five of the top 10 markets with the biggest price drops were in Florida:
- (-22.3%)
- Naples (-21.9%)
- North Port (-19.2%)
- Cape Coral (-14.2%)
- (-13.7%)
San Francisco’s Double Dip: New-home prices in were 18.2% below their peak of approximately $1.2 million. It was also the lone market where April 2025 prices were below 20219 levels (down 15.1%).
Cooling Pandemic Hotspots: (-15.4%) and (-14.2%), which had significant booms in the pandemic, saw prices fall well below their peaks.
At the Peak: Philadelphia, San Jose, and Port St. Lucie were the only markets analyzed to reach a new pricing peak in April.
- San Jose also earned the distinction as the most expensive market analyzed, with an average new-home price of $1.8 million.
Nearing the Top: Home prices in , , , , and were all within 3% of the peak in April.
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What Does This Mean for You?
The declines in prices mean that markets that may have felt out of reach for would-be buyers are now more accessible. At the very least, these markets now come with better terms.
Bottom line: For , now may be the time to revisit areas they were previously priced out of and take advantage of builder incentives.
That said, urgency matters; these lower prices may not last. As the market adjusts, today’s opportunities could turn into tomorrow’s regrets.
NewHomeSource is a platform for new home listings with homebuilder reviews.
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